Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
LeBron James
4.59
Irrational Confidence
+0.97
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.75
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
LeBron James
5
Austin Reaves
4
Marcus Smart
4
Luka Dončić
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Deandre Ayton
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Luke Kennard
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Jarred Vanderbilt
4
Jake LaRavia
4
LeBron James highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
63th percentile · #132 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
62ndpercentile
#3,557 of 9,465
Signals on file
141
Iso possessions
12.0%
Iso share
0.93
Iso PPP
15.0%
Fadeaway rate
30.2%
Pull-up rate
33
Clutch attempts
20.9
Points / game
27.0%
Usage
59.5%
True shooting