Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Austin Reaves
4.42
Irrational Confidence
+1.25
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.00
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
LeBron James
5
Austin Reaves
4
Marcus Smart
4
Luka Dončić
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Deandre Ayton
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Luke Kennard
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Jarred Vanderbilt
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Austin Reaves highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
60th percentile · #143 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
60thpercentile
#3,767 of 9,465
Signals on file
130
Iso possessions
13.3%
Iso share
1.05
Iso PPP
5.2%
Fadeaway rate
46.4%
Pull-up rate
25
Clutch attempts
23.3
Points / game
26.7%
Usage
64.1%
True shooting