Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Gabe Vincent
4.03
Irrational Confidence
-0.57
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.98
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
LeBron James
5
Austin Reaves
4
Marcus Smart
4
Luka Dončić
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Deandre Ayton
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Luke Kennard
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Jarred Vanderbilt
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Gabe Vincent highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
50th percentile · #181 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
52ndpercentile
#4,517 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.9%
Fadeaway rate
30.3%
Pull-up rate
—
Clutch attempts
4.4
Points / game
12.3%
Usage
51.1%
True shooting