Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jarred Vanderbilt
3.84
Irrational Confidence
-1.41
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.18
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
LeBron James
5
Austin Reaves
4
Marcus Smart
4
Luka Dončić
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Deandre Ayton
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Luke Kennard
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Jarred Vanderbilt
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Jarred Vanderbilt highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
30th percentile · #249 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
31stpercentile
#6,547 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.0%
Fadeaway rate
0.0%
Pull-up rate
2
Clutch attempts
4.4
Points / game
12.4%
Usage
54.4%
True shooting