Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jake LaRavia
3.69
Irrational Confidence
-0.92
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.75
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
LeBron James
5
Austin Reaves
4
Marcus Smart
4
Luka Dončić
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Deandre Ayton
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Luke Kennard
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Jarred Vanderbilt
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Jake LaRavia highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
16th percentile · #300 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
15thpercentile
#8,014 of 9,465
Signals on file
16
Iso possessions
2.4%
Iso share
0.63
Iso PPP
3.8%
Fadeaway rate
13.1%
Pull-up rate
13
Clutch attempts
8.2
Points / game
14.4%
Usage
57.1%
True shooting