Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Derik Queen
40.65
Irrational Confidence
+0.54
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.73
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Derik Queen highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
93th percentile · #24 of 359 · +2.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
95thpercentile
#473 of 9,465
Signals on file
153
Iso possessions
15.1%
Iso share
0.97
Iso PPP
5.5%
Fadeaway rate
23.9%
Pull-up rate
25
Clutch attempts
11.7
Points / game
21.8%
Usage
54.6%
True shooting