Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Zion Williamson
8.05
Irrational Confidence
+0.60
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.14
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Zion Williamson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
80th percentile · #71 of 359 · -0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
78thpercentile
#2,047 of 9,465
Signals on file
242
Iso possessions
22.0%
Iso share
1.07
Iso PPP
1.2%
Fadeaway rate
22.4%
Pull-up rate
51
Clutch attempts
21.0
Points / game
25.7%
Usage
64.4%
True shooting