Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Karlo Matković
3.98
Irrational Confidence
-1.15
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.45
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Karlo Matković highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
44th percentile · #196 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
47thpercentile
#4,990 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.4%
Fadeaway rate
1.0%
Pull-up rate
—
Clutch attempts
5.7
Points / game
13.1%
Usage
69.6%
True shooting