Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Herbert Jones
4.63
Irrational Confidence
-0.53
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.42
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Herbert Jones highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
64th percentile · #131 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
63rdpercentile
#3,515 of 9,465
Signals on file
35
Iso possessions
6.4%
Iso share
0.80
Iso PPP
1.0%
Fadeaway rate
20.5%
Pull-up rate
10
Clutch attempts
8.9
Points / game
15.2%
Usage
49.1%
True shooting