Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jose Alvarado
5.02
Irrational Confidence
-0.09
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.62
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Jose Alvarado highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
67th percentile · #119 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
67thpercentile
#3,155 of 9,465
Signals on file
17
Iso possessions
8.1%
Iso share
0.47
Iso PPP
0.7%
Fadeaway rate
32.2%
Pull-up rate
16
Clutch attempts
7.4
Points / game
16.8%
Usage
54.3%
True shooting