Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Trey Murphy III
3.90
Irrational Confidence
+0.26
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.59
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Trey Murphy III highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
35th percentile · #227 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
37thpercentile
#5,946 of 9,465
Signals on file
82
Iso possessions
6.8%
Iso share
0.72
Iso PPP
1.7%
Fadeaway rate
35.5%
Pull-up rate
46
Clutch attempts
21.5
Points / game
22.7%
Usage
61.3%
True shooting