Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jeremiah Fears
80.82
Irrational Confidence
+0.99
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-2.04
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremiah Fears
81
Derik Queen
41
Jordan Poole
24
Saddiq Bey
13
Jordan Hawkins
8
Zion Williamson
8
Jose Alvarado
5
Herbert Jones
5
Yves Missi
4
Micah Peavy
4
Karlo Matković
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Bryce McGowens
4
Jeremiah Fears highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
99th percentile · #2 of 359 · +5.0σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
99thpercentile
#98 of 9,465
Signals on file
93
Iso possessions
7.5%
Iso share
0.79
Iso PPP
3.4%
Fadeaway rate
37.9%
Pull-up rate
17
Clutch attempts
14.3
Points / game
25.5%
Usage
52.5%
True shooting