Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Craig Porter Jr.
3.64
Irrational Confidence
-0.51
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.40
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Dennis Schröder
52
James Harden
44
Donovan Mitchell
7
Darius Garland
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
Lonzo Ball
4
Jarrett Allen
4
Keon Ellis
4
Sam Merrill
4
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
4
Dean Wade
4
Evan Mobley
4
Craig Porter Jr.
4
Thomas Bryant
4
Craig Porter Jr. highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
9th percentile · #323 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
10thpercentile
#8,525 of 9,465
Signals on file
13
Iso possessions
4.0%
Iso share
0.92
Iso PPP
7.0%
Fadeaway rate
37.0%
Pull-up rate
4
Clutch attempts
4.5
Points / game
12.3%
Usage
52.4%
True shooting