Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
James Harden
44.11
Irrational Confidence
+1.94
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.21
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Bennedict Mathurin
51
James Harden
44
Darius Garland
5
Kawhi Leonard
4
Nicolas Batum
4
Ivica Zubac
4
Jordan Miller
4
John Collins
4
Isaiah Jackson
4
Kobe Brown
4
Brook Lopez
4
Kobe Sanders
4
Derrick Jones Jr.
4
Kris Dunn
4
James Harden highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
94th percentile · #21 of 359 · +2.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
96thpercentile
#425 of 9,465
Signals on file
181
Iso possessions
36.5%
Iso share
1.08
Iso PPP
1.1%
Fadeaway rate
57.8%
Pull-up rate
60
Clutch attempts
23.6
Points / game
28.6%
Usage
61.0%
True shooting