Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Derrick Jones Jr.
3.61
Irrational Confidence
-0.87
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.15
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Bennedict Mathurin
51
James Harden
44
Darius Garland
5
Kawhi Leonard
4
Nicolas Batum
4
Ivica Zubac
4
Jordan Miller
4
John Collins
4
Isaiah Jackson
4
Kobe Brown
4
Brook Lopez
4
Kobe Sanders
4
Derrick Jones Jr.
4
Kris Dunn
4
Derrick Jones Jr. highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
6th percentile · #333 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
7thpercentile
#8,794 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.0%
Fadeaway rate
8.9%
Pull-up rate
21
Clutch attempts
10.1
Points / game
15.1%
Usage
60.0%
True shooting