Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
John Collins
3.84
Irrational Confidence
-0.40
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.04
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Bennedict Mathurin
51
James Harden
44
Darius Garland
5
Kawhi Leonard
4
Nicolas Batum
4
Ivica Zubac
4
Jordan Miller
4
John Collins
4
Isaiah Jackson
4
Kobe Brown
4
Brook Lopez
4
Kobe Sanders
4
Derrick Jones Jr.
4
Kris Dunn
4
John Collins highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
30th percentile · #249 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
31stpercentile
#6,547 of 9,465
Signals on file
22
Iso possessions
2.8%
Iso share
0.73
Iso PPP
3.0%
Fadeaway rate
10.4%
Pull-up rate
9
Clutch attempts
13.6
Points / game
19.5%
Usage
64.3%
True shooting