Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Lonzo Ball
4.45
Irrational Confidence
-0.54
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.32
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Dennis Schröder
52
James Harden
44
Donovan Mitchell
7
Darius Garland
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
Lonzo Ball
4
Jarrett Allen
4
Keon Ellis
4
Sam Merrill
4
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
4
Dean Wade
4
Evan Mobley
4
Craig Porter Jr.
4
Thomas Bryant
4
Lonzo Ball highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
61th percentile · #140 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
61stpercentile
#3,729 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.6%
Fadeaway rate
29.9%
Pull-up rate
5
Clutch attempts
4.6
Points / game
13.7%
Usage
43.2%
True shooting