Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Donovan Mitchell
6.80
Irrational Confidence
+1.88
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.64
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Dennis Schröder
52
James Harden
44
Donovan Mitchell
7
Darius Garland
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
Lonzo Ball
4
Jarrett Allen
4
Keon Ellis
4
Sam Merrill
4
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
4
Dean Wade
4
Evan Mobley
4
Craig Porter Jr.
4
Thomas Bryant
4
Donovan Mitchell highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
77th percentile · #82 of 359 · -0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
75thpercentile
#2,361 of 9,465
Signals on file
216
Iso possessions
12.8%
Iso share
1.02
Iso PPP
3.1%
Fadeaway rate
45.9%
Pull-up rate
70
Clutch attempts
27.9
Points / game
32.2%
Usage
61.3%
True shooting