Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Keon Ellis
3.96
Irrational Confidence
-0.96
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.41
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Russell Westbrook
74
Devin Carter
66
Dennis Schröder
52
Malik Monk
10
Nique Clifford
6
Precious Achiuwa
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
DeMar DeRozan
4
Maxime Raynaud
4
Keon Ellis
4
Zach LaVine
4
Dylan Cardwell
4
Daeqwon Plowden
4
Keon Ellis highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
41th percentile · #207 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
44thpercentile
#5,286 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.8%
Fadeaway rate
21.1%
Pull-up rate
4
Clutch attempts
6.7
Points / game
13.0%
Usage
57.9%
True shooting