Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
DeMar DeRozan
4.15
Irrational Confidence
+1.03
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.15
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Russell Westbrook
74
Devin Carter
66
Dennis Schröder
52
Malik Monk
10
Nique Clifford
6
Precious Achiuwa
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
DeMar DeRozan
4
Maxime Raynaud
4
Keon Ellis
4
Zach LaVine
4
Dylan Cardwell
4
Daeqwon Plowden
4
DeMar DeRozan highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
53th percentile · #167 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
56thpercentile
#4,202 of 9,465
Signals on file
242
Iso possessions
19.6%
Iso share
1.03
Iso PPP
7.3%
Fadeaway rate
43.0%
Pull-up rate
48
Clutch attempts
18.4
Points / game
22.8%
Usage
59.4%
True shooting