Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Devin Carter
65.57
Irrational Confidence
+0.94
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.57
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Russell Westbrook
74
Devin Carter
66
Dennis Schröder
52
Malik Monk
10
Nique Clifford
6
Precious Achiuwa
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
DeMar DeRozan
4
Maxime Raynaud
4
Keon Ellis
4
Zach LaVine
4
Dylan Cardwell
4
Daeqwon Plowden
4
Devin Carter highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
99th percentile · #5 of 359 · +3.9σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
98thpercentile
#209 of 9,465
Signals on file
36
Iso possessions
9.3%
Iso share
0.72
Iso PPP
3.4%
Fadeaway rate
28.0%
Pull-up rate
13
Clutch attempts
8.9
Points / game
23.5%
Usage
50.8%
True shooting