Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jarrett Allen
3.99
Irrational Confidence
-0.36
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+2.37
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Dennis Schröder
52
James Harden
44
Donovan Mitchell
7
Darius Garland
5
De'Andre Hunter
5
Lonzo Ball
4
Jarrett Allen
4
Keon Ellis
4
Sam Merrill
4
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
4
Dean Wade
4
Evan Mobley
4
Craig Porter Jr.
4
Thomas Bryant
4
Jarrett Allen highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
46th percentile · #190 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
49thpercentile
#4,819 of 9,465
Signals on file
19
Iso possessions
2.7%
Iso share
0.79
Iso PPP
0.4%
Fadeaway rate
1.6%
Pull-up rate
12
Clutch attempts
15.4
Points / game
19.9%
Usage
66.9%
True shooting