Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Nick Richards
3.55
Irrational Confidence
-0.51
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.10
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Rob Dillingham
64
Josh Giddey
30
Coby White
16
Matas Buzelis
7
Patrick Williams
7
Jaden Ivey
6
Collin Sexton
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Tre Jones
4
Jevon Carter
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Isaac Okoro
4
Leonard Miller
4
Nick Richards highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
1th percentile · #355 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
1stpercentile
#9,345 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
1.0%
Fadeaway rate
2.2%
Pull-up rate
1
Clutch attempts
5.8
Points / game
18.2%
Usage
56.2%
True shooting