Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Josh Giddey
30.01
Irrational Confidence
+0.89
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.72
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Rob Dillingham
64
Josh Giddey
30
Coby White
16
Matas Buzelis
7
Patrick Williams
7
Jaden Ivey
6
Collin Sexton
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Tre Jones
4
Jevon Carter
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Isaac Okoro
4
Leonard Miller
4
Josh Giddey highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
92th percentile · #28 of 359 · +1.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
93rdpercentile
#662 of 9,465
Signals on file
53
Iso possessions
5.4%
Iso share
0.85
Iso PPP
1.4%
Fadeaway rate
22.3%
Pull-up rate
43
Clutch attempts
17.0
Points / game
24.4%
Usage
56.2%
True shooting