Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jaden Ivey
6.38
Irrational Confidence
+0.08
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.65
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Cade Cunningham
64
Daniss Jenkins
40
Caris LeVert
11
Jaden Ivey
6
Ronald Holland II
5
Ausar Thompson
5
Tobias Harris
4
Duncan Robinson
4
Jalen Duren
4
Javonte Green
4
Paul Reed
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Isaiah Stewart
4
Jaden Ivey highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
75th percentile · #91 of 359 · -0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
74thpercentile
#2,503 of 9,465
Signals on file
14
Iso possessions
5.5%
Iso share
1.21
Iso PPP
3.1%
Fadeaway rate
27.9%
Pull-up rate
2
Clutch attempts
8.5
Points / game
19.7%
Usage
57.1%
True shooting