Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jalen Duren
3.92
Irrational Confidence
+0.16
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.58
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Cade Cunningham
64
Daniss Jenkins
40
Caris LeVert
11
Jaden Ivey
6
Ronald Holland II
5
Ausar Thompson
5
Tobias Harris
4
Duncan Robinson
4
Jalen Duren
4
Javonte Green
4
Paul Reed
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Isaiah Stewart
4
Jalen Duren highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
38th percentile · #218 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
40thpercentile
#5,714 of 9,465
Signals on file
93
Iso possessions
8.5%
Iso share
1.05
Iso PPP
1.5%
Fadeaway rate
21.2%
Pull-up rate
29
Clutch attempts
19.5
Points / game
23.6%
Usage
68.8%
True shooting