Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Paul Reed
3.63
Irrational Confidence
-0.19
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.42
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Cade Cunningham
64
Daniss Jenkins
40
Caris LeVert
11
Jaden Ivey
6
Ronald Holland II
5
Ausar Thompson
5
Tobias Harris
4
Duncan Robinson
4
Jalen Duren
4
Javonte Green
4
Paul Reed
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Isaiah Stewart
4
Paul Reed highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
8th percentile · #326 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
9thpercentile
#8,621 of 9,465
Signals on file
10
Iso possessions
2.3%
Iso share
0.80
Iso PPP
2.1%
Fadeaway rate
12.6%
Pull-up rate
11
Clutch attempts
7.8
Points / game
20.6%
Usage
65.0%
True shooting