Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Ausar Thompson
4.73
Irrational Confidence
-0.28
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.90
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Cade Cunningham
64
Daniss Jenkins
40
Caris LeVert
11
Jaden Ivey
6
Ronald Holland II
5
Ausar Thompson
5
Tobias Harris
4
Duncan Robinson
4
Jalen Duren
4
Javonte Green
4
Paul Reed
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Isaiah Stewart
4
Ausar Thompson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
64th percentile · #130 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
64thpercentile
#3,410 of 9,465
Signals on file
55
Iso possessions
7.3%
Iso share
0.93
Iso PPP
4.0%
Fadeaway rate
26.0%
Pull-up rate
20
Clutch attempts
9.9
Points / game
16.9%
Usage
54.5%
True shooting