Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Tre Jones
4.24
Irrational Confidence
+0.04
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.09
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Rob Dillingham
64
Josh Giddey
30
Coby White
16
Matas Buzelis
7
Patrick Williams
7
Jaden Ivey
6
Collin Sexton
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Tre Jones
4
Jevon Carter
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Isaac Okoro
4
Leonard Miller
4
Tre Jones highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
55th percentile · #158 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
57thpercentile
#4,028 of 9,465
Signals on file
41
Iso possessions
5.2%
Iso share
0.78
Iso PPP
0.5%
Fadeaway rate
18.0%
Pull-up rate
33
Clutch attempts
14.1
Points / game
19.2%
Usage
63.7%
True shooting