Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Matas Buzelis
7.43
Irrational Confidence
+0.12
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.77
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Rob Dillingham
64
Josh Giddey
30
Coby White
16
Matas Buzelis
7
Patrick Williams
7
Jaden Ivey
6
Collin Sexton
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Tre Jones
4
Jevon Carter
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Isaac Okoro
4
Leonard Miller
4
Matas Buzelis highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
79th percentile · #77 of 359 · -0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
77thpercentile
#2,196 of 9,465
Signals on file
40
Iso possessions
3.3%
Iso share
0.93
Iso PPP
0.8%
Fadeaway rate
18.9%
Pull-up rate
38
Clutch attempts
16.3
Points / game
22.8%
Usage
58.6%
True shooting