Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Patrick Williams
6.98
Irrational Confidence
-0.15
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.33
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Rob Dillingham
64
Josh Giddey
30
Coby White
16
Matas Buzelis
7
Patrick Williams
7
Jaden Ivey
6
Collin Sexton
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Tre Jones
4
Jevon Carter
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Isaac Okoro
4
Leonard Miller
4
Patrick Williams highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
77th percentile · #81 of 359 · -0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
76thpercentile
#2,302 of 9,465
Signals on file
24
Iso possessions
4.2%
Iso share
0.63
Iso PPP
4.2%
Fadeaway rate
15.0%
Pull-up rate
3
Clutch attempts
7.0
Points / game
16.6%
Usage
49.4%
True shooting