Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
CJ McCollum
5.80
Irrational Confidence
+1.20
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.54
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
Jalen Johnson
12
Jonathan Kuminga
9
CJ McCollum
6
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Luke Kennard
4
Zaccharie Risacher
4
Vít Krejčí
4
Dyson Daniels
4
Corey Kispert
4
Mouhamed Gueye
4
Buddy Hield
4
Onyeka Okongwu
4
CJ McCollum highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
73th percentile · #98 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
71stpercentile
#2,719 of 9,465
Signals on file
46
Iso possessions
8.4%
Iso share
0.56
Iso PPP
3.5%
Fadeaway rate
45.4%
Pull-up rate
63
Clutch attempts
18.7
Points / game
25.7%
Usage
56.6%
True shooting