Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
5.41
Irrational Confidence
+0.37
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.02
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
Jalen Johnson
12
Jonathan Kuminga
9
CJ McCollum
6
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Luke Kennard
4
Zaccharie Risacher
4
Vít Krejčí
4
Dyson Daniels
4
Corey Kispert
4
Mouhamed Gueye
4
Buddy Hield
4
Onyeka Okongwu
4
Nickeil Alexander-Walker highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
70th percentile · #108 of 359 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
69thpercentile
#2,900 of 9,465
Signals on file
54
Iso possessions
3.7%
Iso share
0.85
Iso PPP
2.8%
Fadeaway rate
31.1%
Pull-up rate
57
Clutch attempts
20.8
Points / game
23.9%
Usage
61.0%
True shooting