Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Buddy Hield
3.68
Irrational Confidence
-0.08
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.42
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
De'Anthony Melton
44
Pat Spencer
19
Jonathan Kuminga
9
Jimmy Butler III
8
Brandin Podziemski
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Stephen Curry
4
Gary Payton II
4
Draymond Green
4
Al Horford
4
Will Richard
4
Buddy Hield
4
Moses Moody
4
Quinten Post
4
Buddy Hield highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
14th percentile · #304 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
14thpercentile
#8,097 of 9,465
Signals on file
12
Iso possessions
3.5%
Iso share
1.25
Iso PPP
0.3%
Fadeaway rate
28.4%
Pull-up rate
4
Clutch attempts
7.6
Points / game
20.3%
Usage
56.8%
True shooting