Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Stephen Curry
4.13
Irrational Confidence
+1.60
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.52
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
De'Anthony Melton
44
Pat Spencer
19
Jonathan Kuminga
9
Jimmy Butler III
8
Brandin Podziemski
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Stephen Curry
4
Gary Payton II
4
Draymond Green
4
Al Horford
4
Will Richard
4
Buddy Hield
4
Moses Moody
4
Quinten Post
4
Stephen Curry highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
52th percentile · #173 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
55thpercentile
#4,240 of 9,465
Signals on file
91
Iso possessions
9.8%
Iso share
1.09
Iso PPP
1.0%
Fadeaway rate
46.5%
Pull-up rate
55
Clutch attempts
26.6
Points / game
32.6%
Usage
63.6%
True shooting