Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Al Horford
3.72
Irrational Confidence
-0.47
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.65
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
De'Anthony Melton
44
Pat Spencer
19
Jonathan Kuminga
9
Jimmy Butler III
8
Brandin Podziemski
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Stephen Curry
4
Gary Payton II
4
Draymond Green
4
Al Horford
4
Will Richard
4
Buddy Hield
4
Moses Moody
4
Quinten Post
4
Al Horford highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
19th percentile · #285 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
18thpercentile
#7,727 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.9%
Fadeaway rate
1.7%
Pull-up rate
16
Clutch attempts
8.3
Points / game
16.6%
Usage
55.5%
True shooting