Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jalen Johnson
12.44
Irrational Confidence
+1.04
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.06
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A disciplined room.
Jalen Johnson
12
Jonathan Kuminga
9
CJ McCollum
6
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
5
Kristaps Porziņģis
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Luke Kennard
4
Zaccharie Risacher
4
Vít Krejčí
4
Dyson Daniels
4
Corey Kispert
4
Mouhamed Gueye
4
Buddy Hield
4
Onyeka Okongwu
4
Jalen Johnson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
85th percentile · #53 of 359 · +0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
85thpercentile
#1,434 of 9,465
Signals on file
127
Iso possessions
8.0%
Iso share
0.78
Iso PPP
5.5%
Fadeaway rate
25.5%
Pull-up rate
64
Clutch attempts
22.5
Points / game
27.0%
Usage
58.1%
True shooting