Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Stephon Castle
67.95
Irrational Confidence
+0.85
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.85
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderGregg Popovich (2–3)→Mitch Johnson (32–45)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Stephon Castle
68
Victor Wembanyama
13
De'Aaron Fox
8
Keldon Johnson
7
Blake Wesley
5
Devin Vassell
5
Jeremy Sochan
4
Chris Paul
4
Harrison Barnes
4
Sandro Mamukelashvili
4
Tre Jones
4
Zach Collins
4
Julian Champagnie
4
Stephon Castle highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
97th percentile · #9 of 341 · +3.5σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
98thpercentile
#193 of 9,465
Signals on file
129
Iso possessions
9.8%
Iso share
0.83
Iso PPP
1.7%
Fadeaway rate
36.3%
Pull-up rate
31
Clutch attempts
14.7
Points / game
26.0%
Usage
52.2%
True shooting