Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Keldon Johnson
7.14
Irrational Confidence
+0.00
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.98
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderGregg Popovich (2–3)→Mitch Johnson (32–45)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Stephon Castle
69
Victor Wembanyama
13
Keldon Johnson
7
De'Aaron Fox
6
Blake Wesley
5
Devin Vassell
5
Jeremy Sochan
4
Chris Paul
4
Harrison Barnes
4
Sandro Mamukelashvili
4
Julian Champagnie
4
Keldon Johnson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
77th percentile · #81 of 355 · -0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
76thpercentile
#2,302 of 9,553
Signals on file
56
Iso possessions
6.0%
Iso share
1.04
Iso PPP
1.0%
Fadeaway rate
11.9%
Pull-up rate
20
Clutch attempts
12.7
Points / game
21.6%
Usage
57.2%
True shooting