Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Zach Collins
3.56
Irrational Confidence
-0.65
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.03
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderBilly Donovan (39–43)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Talen Horton-Tucker
30
Josh Giddey
16
Coby White
9
Patrick Williams
5
Zach LaVine
4
Dalen Terry
4
Matas Buzelis
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Julian Phillips
4
Tre Jones
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Jalen Smith
4
Lonzo Ball
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Zach Collins highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
1th percentile · #335 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
2ndpercentile
#9,242 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.0%
Fadeaway rate
2.2%
Pull-up rate
2
Clutch attempts
6.4
Points / game
17.1%
Usage
60.5%
True shooting