Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Lonzo Ball
3.59
Irrational Confidence
-0.34
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.06
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
UnderBilly Donovan (39–43)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Talen Horton-Tucker
30
Josh Giddey
16
Coby White
9
Patrick Williams
5
Zach LaVine
4
Dalen Terry
4
Matas Buzelis
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Julian Phillips
4
Tre Jones
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Jalen Smith
4
Lonzo Ball
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Lonzo Ball highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
4th percentile · #322 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
5thpercentile
#9,001 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
1.2%
Fadeaway rate
26.1%
Pull-up rate
14
Clutch attempts
7.6
Points / game
15.9%
Usage
52.4%
True shooting