Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jalen Smith
3.63
Irrational Confidence
-0.18
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.23
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderBilly Donovan (39–43)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Talen Horton-Tucker
30
Josh Giddey
16
Coby White
9
Patrick Williams
5
Zach LaVine
4
Dalen Terry
4
Matas Buzelis
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Julian Phillips
4
Tre Jones
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Jalen Smith
4
Lonzo Ball
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Jalen Smith highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
10th percentile · #301 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
9thpercentile
#8,621 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.2%
Fadeaway rate
3.7%
Pull-up rate
1
Clutch attempts
8.2
Points / game
21.0%
Usage
58.6%
True shooting