Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Patrick Williams
4.50
Irrational Confidence
-0.26
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.74
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
UnderBilly Donovan (39–43)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Talen Horton-Tucker
30
Josh Giddey
16
Coby White
9
Patrick Williams
5
Zach LaVine
4
Dalen Terry
4
Matas Buzelis
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Julian Phillips
4
Tre Jones
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Jalen Smith
4
Lonzo Ball
4
Ayo Dosunmu
4
Patrick Williams highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
62th percentile · #129 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
61stpercentile
#3,664 of 9,465
Signals on file
23
Iso possessions
3.6%
Iso share
0.35
Iso PPP
5.4%
Fadeaway rate
29.8%
Pull-up rate
10
Clutch attempts
9.0
Points / game
16.9%
Usage
51.2%
True shooting