Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Victor Wembanyama
13.02
Irrational Confidence
+1.05
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.08
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderGregg Popovich (2–3)→Mitch Johnson (32–45)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Stephon Castle
68
Victor Wembanyama
13
De'Aaron Fox
8
Keldon Johnson
7
Blake Wesley
5
Devin Vassell
5
Jeremy Sochan
4
Chris Paul
4
Harrison Barnes
4
Sandro Mamukelashvili
4
Tre Jones
4
Zach Collins
4
Julian Champagnie
4
Victor Wembanyama highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
84th percentile · #53 of 341 · +0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
85thpercentile
#1,375 of 9,465
Signals on file
97
Iso possessions
8.9%
Iso share
0.69
Iso PPP
7.1%
Fadeaway rate
28.3%
Pull-up rate
46
Clutch attempts
24.3
Points / game
30.4%
Usage
59.4%
True shooting