Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Chris Paul
3.94
Irrational Confidence
+0.53
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.12
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderGregg Popovich (2–3)→Mitch Johnson (32–45)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Stephon Castle
69
Victor Wembanyama
13
Keldon Johnson
7
De'Aaron Fox
6
Blake Wesley
5
Devin Vassell
5
Jeremy Sochan
4
Chris Paul
4
Harrison Barnes
4
Sandro Mamukelashvili
4
Julian Champagnie
4
Chris Paul highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
45th percentile · #194 of 355 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
41stpercentile
#5,646 of 9,553
Signals on file
93
Iso possessions
12.5%
Iso share
0.86
Iso PPP
6.7%
Fadeaway rate
62.7%
Pull-up rate
30
Clutch attempts
8.8
Points / game
14.0%
Usage
58.0%
True shooting