Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Collin Gillespie
3.89
Irrational Confidence
+0.37
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.12
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Jalen Green
90
Dillon Brooks
28
Devin Booker
8
Jamaree Bouyea
7
Jordan Goodwin
6
Grayson Allen
4
Oso Ighodaro
4
Collin Gillespie
4
Royce O'Neale
4
Rasheer Fleming
4
Mark Williams
4
Ryan Dunn
4
Nick Richards
4
Collin Gillespie highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
35th percentile · #233 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
36thpercentile
#6,031 of 9,465
Signals on file
31
Iso possessions
3.3%
Iso share
0.87
Iso PPP
3.3%
Fadeaway rate
50.7%
Pull-up rate
29
Clutch attempts
12.7
Points / game
18.7%
Usage
57.5%
True shooting