Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Grayson Allen
4.32
Irrational Confidence
+0.70
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.70
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Jalen Green
90
Dillon Brooks
28
Devin Booker
8
Jamaree Bouyea
7
Jordan Goodwin
6
Grayson Allen
4
Oso Ighodaro
4
Collin Gillespie
4
Royce O'Neale
4
Rasheer Fleming
4
Mark Williams
4
Ryan Dunn
4
Nick Richards
4
Grayson Allen highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
58th percentile · #152 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
59thpercentile
#3,902 of 9,465
Signals on file
39
Iso possessions
4.8%
Iso share
1.10
Iso PPP
1.6%
Fadeaway rate
37.0%
Pull-up rate
40
Clutch attempts
16.5
Points / game
23.8%
Usage
56.8%
True shooting