Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Paolo Banchero
65.10
Irrational Confidence
+1.11
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.24
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Paolo Banchero
65
Franz Wagner
33
Anthony Black
18
Jalen Suggs
11
Desmond Bane
5
Noah Penda
4
Jett Howard
4
Jevon Carter
4
Goga Bitadze
4
Tristan da Silva
4
Tyus Jones
4
Wendell Carter Jr.
4
Paolo Banchero highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
98th percentile · #6 of 359 · +3.9σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
98thpercentile
#213 of 9,465
Signals on file
268
Iso possessions
16.9%
Iso share
0.87
Iso PPP
5.2%
Fadeaway rate
44.4%
Pull-up rate
80
Clutch attempts
22.2
Points / game
27.6%
Usage
56.6%
True shooting