Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Franz Wagner
33.03
Irrational Confidence
+0.94
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.73
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Paolo Banchero
65
Franz Wagner
33
Anthony Black
18
Jalen Suggs
11
Desmond Bane
5
Noah Penda
4
Jett Howard
4
Jevon Carter
4
Goga Bitadze
4
Tristan da Silva
4
Tyus Jones
4
Wendell Carter Jr.
4
Franz Wagner highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
93th percentile · #26 of 359 · +1.6σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
94thpercentile
#599 of 9,465
Signals on file
43
Iso possessions
7.3%
Iso share
0.70
Iso PPP
1.6%
Fadeaway rate
29.2%
Pull-up rate
34
Clutch attempts
20.6
Points / game
27.0%
Usage
58.8%
True shooting