Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jalen Suggs
10.77
Irrational Confidence
+0.61
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.33
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
Paolo Banchero
65
Franz Wagner
33
Anthony Black
18
Jalen Suggs
11
Desmond Bane
5
Noah Penda
4
Jett Howard
4
Jevon Carter
4
Goga Bitadze
4
Tristan da Silva
4
Tyus Jones
4
Wendell Carter Jr.
4
Jalen Suggs highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
84th percentile · #58 of 359 · +0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
83rdpercentile
#1,608 of 9,465
Signals on file
50
Iso possessions
6.5%
Iso share
0.96
Iso PPP
3.2%
Fadeaway rate
38.9%
Pull-up rate
24
Clutch attempts
13.8
Points / game
22.9%
Usage
56.1%
True shooting